Resolution intelligence for prediction markets

Make every market defensible when it settles.

Meridian Resolve helps venues, market creators, market makers, and institutional traders create, monitor, resolve, and audit event contracts with timestamped evidence.

Example resolution packet with rule text, source graph, evidence snapshots, and recommendation

The bottleneck

A market is only as good as its resolution record.

Prediction markets depend on the market question, the resolution rules, and the evidence used to settle the outcome.

When any of those are ambiguous, disputes increase, liquidity providers widen spreads, and venues inherit avoidable reputational risk.

Resolution lifecycle

From draft market to auditable settlement.

  1. 01 Market Draft

    Capture title, rules, source, expiry, fallback logic, and category before launch.

  2. 02 Rule Linting

    Flag vague wording, missing timezones, source gaps, overlapping outcomes, and revision risk.

  3. 03 Source Graph

    Map primary sources, backup sources, endpoint cadence, revision policy, and failure modes.

  4. 04 Evidence Monitoring

    Snapshot APIs, webpages, filings, PDFs, and onchain records with immutable hashes.

  5. 05 Resolution Packet

    Generate a settlement memo with timeline, evidence, recommendation, and open questions.

  6. 06 Reputation Record

    Track dispute rate, settlement delay, source reliability, and ambiguity at launch.

Core product

Not a black-box oracle. A chain of custody.

A

Market Rule Linter

Reviews market title, description, resolution source, deadline, fallback logic, and edge cases before a market launches.

  • Timezone checks
  • Source-of-truth checks
  • Outcome overlap checks
B

Resolution Source Graph

Represents each market's sources, fallback sources, refresh cadence, revision policy, and known failure modes.

  • Primary source
  • Backup source
  • Revision policy
C

Evidence Engine

Preserves timestamped source snapshots so settlement can be reviewed without trusting memory, screenshots in chat, or manual notes.

  • API payloads
  • Archived pages
  • Content hashes
D

Dispute Packet Generator

Turns market rules, source snapshots, conflicting interpretations, and recommended outcomes into a concise resolution memo.

  • Timeline
  • Evidence appendix
  • Recommendation

Venue and protocol coverage

Every venue resolves differently. The lifecycle should not.

Meridian normalizes market rules, outcome schema, source references, expiry metadata, and settlement status across centralized exchanges, onchain protocols, and operator-defined event markets.

Polymarket-style oracle markets
Kalshi-style regulated event contracts
Onchain outcome protocols
HIP-4 outcome assets
Custom operator markets
Official-source data feeds

MVP

Useful before anyone delegates final authority.

Ingest live markets from multiple venue and protocol adapters.

Parse market rules into structured fields.

Score ambiguity and source reliability.

Monitor official sources for objective categories.

Generate evidence packets for upcoming resolutions.

Expose an API for venues, market makers, and market operators.

Integration placeholders

Marks go here once usage is approved.

Polymarket logo placeholder
Kalshi logo placeholder
Onchain protocol logo placeholder
Oracle provider logo placeholder
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